Sean t rcp twitter.
“@jbview @yeselson I guess I feel like a representative doesn't lose by 35 points without seriously deviating from constituents' impressions of what they're about. But I think it's an interesting way of looking at it, and maybe her earlier campaigns don't conform to my expectations.”
Log in. Sign up“So is anyone else sort of freaked out by these supply chain issues? Went to Macy's to get shoes; the guy said he usually had 8,000 pairs but today only had 400. The brake rotors for my wife's car were on backorder. The shelves at the paint store were half-empty. 1/”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersDr. Sean T at RCP, Ph.D.'s Threads - Thread Reader App. Aug 9 • 14 tweets • 3 min read. Save as PDF. Today is my son Judson's 16th Birthday.Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende This MT-Sen scandal might just be an opening salvo that will get much worse but for now I suspect a hit piece from business insider about 15 year old Facebook pics probably helps in …
“@NickRiccardi @billscher $100B (at last estimate) for something that may or may not have an appreciable impact on NY-SF traffic isn't really cheapskating. It's like 1/5th of the cost of building the entire interstate system!”“So is anyone else sort of freaked out by these supply chain issues? Went to Macy's to get shoes; the guy said he usually had 8,000 pairs but today only had 400. The brake rotors for my wife's car were on backorder. The shelves at the paint store were half-empty. 1/”“Anyway,that's why VIII is the worst main storyline film. It destroys too much of the main storyline to leave any hope of wrapping things up in the final film. In fact, if I learned that Johnson was intentionally sabotaging the series, it …
From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll. Practice here first or read more on our help page! More from @SeanTrende. Sean T at RCP ...
Log in. Sign up“@BenjySarlin This is one of the key reasons we have such wide bands on our "tossup" category for now. No one really knows how to model this thing.”“@ThePlumLineGS @billscher So I'm pretty comfortable saying they'd have gotten something through absent the strictures of reconciliation. And remember, with regular order you don't have to go all-or-nothing. You can do a *ton* through appropriations riders, which give nervous members cover.”Nov 2, 2021 · “I've done these before and they are a handy way to see what the votes mean. Basically, once counties clear a certain number of votes in, this take them and compares them to 2017 results, with 4.5% taken off the 2017 results (since Northam won by 9). 1/” Sean T at RCP. @SeanTrende. So the shifts in New Jersey should be much more concerning to Democrats than the more-or-less uniform swing we saw in Virginia. …
“@KevinMKruse It's possible, but he'd have to be pretty sure the leak would flip a vote, or think that it would blunt the impact of the decision in June by spreading out the news cycle (the latter is more plausible imo).”
Jun 7, 2021 · “@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.”
“Here in the real world Silver gives Demings a 1-in-17 chance of beating Rubio, but sure, why not?”“@Izengabe_ @fawfulfan More to the point, the typical way we do a quick-and-dirty assessment of a state's political orientation is PVI, and Kentucky is a point redder than Vermont is blue. If one wants to make a nuanced critique of CPVI here that's fine, but at that point you've lost the plot.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@AdamAwalsh @JayCostTWS That and the collective action problem of ppl staying in to try to get the 1-on-1 with Trump.”“The truth is, I think the Biden will have a better chance at re-election than the environment (whatever it is in 2024) will suggest, because Trump will make the election about him rather the environment. Should Trump lose the primary, he'll go nuclear on the GOP nominee.”
“McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.”Jun 4, 2022 · “This happened in all the Senate races. Pryor was in the game against Cotton through much of the summer, but basically got the same vote share he'd been polling at from May onward; Cotton got all the undecideds, almost all of whom disapproved of the president.” In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersJan 26, 2022 · Log in. Sign up Where there isn't a central constitutional argument, it isn't surprising that these justices might look askance at modifying Gingles. 2/ May 16 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
Jul 27, 2020 · “There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9”
Articles by Sean Trende on Muck Rack. Find Sean Trende's email address, contact information, LinkedIn, Twitter, other social media and more. For PR Pros. . Overview. …Sean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. This is sort of how I felt seeing some of the shifts in Appalachia in 2010, or blue collar areas in 2016. Except this I …“Even just having Snoke hint that there's a larger force behind him, and maybe having Ren meet Palpatine at the end of Episode VIII as a cliffhanger and then giving the explanation of how in IX would fix quite a bit. And that then brings us to VIII. 9/”https://twitter.com/amyewalter/status/1545114625141837826 If you look at what Reagan was elected to do: defeat the Soviet Union/reignite American exceptionalism, lower taxes, slow the pace of social change, defeat inflation, etc., it was all accomplished by 1992.“Alright, Florida (mostly), Georgia, IN-01, Western KY, SC, VT and VA are on deck. Then at 8, all hell breaks loose.”“As I've said before, I think the alternatives offered up by the Tea Party purifiers and populists have largely been appalling. But if you look back over the past 40 years, its not hard to understand how this happened. 17/17”Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love …“There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9”Where there isn't a central constitutional argument, it isn't surprising that these justices might look askance at modifying Gingles. 2/ May 16 • 10 tweets • 3 min read“This is really straightforward, and it's one of those things that separates serious people from unserious ones in my mind. Heck, even if the blame ultimately falls with the GOP voters, there's no justification for becoming a …
Sean Hannity is a conservative talk show host who can be heard on the radio, on his podcasts and on his own show on Fox News. There are a couple ways that you can try and get in contact with him, if you so desire.
Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.
“@SethAMandel @varadmehta The basic observation about Biden being boring and that making him a tough opponent is basically correct, but it is also why the attempts to shoehorn his first 100 days into a transformative, FDR-like presidency is sorta silly right now.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersJun 1, 2022 · “OK, let's settle this: Worst Star Wars main storyline movie. I'll give my take at the end, but I do think a case can be made for any of these.” Log in. Sign upSean T at RCP on Twitter: "So my Voting & Participation class drew an Ohio map without ever turning on the political map, and came up with this. It isn't 100% …“A dog and his boy.”Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "For people under 16 this is less deadly than the flu. Not even on my radar of considerations. And as I said, in a few weeks if you haven't received your vaccine, it's pretty much on you. Especially given the teeny tiny risk of outdoor transmission to begin with.… https://t.co/Dw7OXIHcO4"In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users... sean, Dget norms for iti, Adolescent clothing, 841n dd wrt repeater, Dove grey color code, Moonwalker thriller dance, Hopkins kovalev 24/7 hbo, Recycling ...If you are a fan of political commentary and news analysis, tuning in to watch Sean Hannity live can be a valuable experience. When you watch Sean Hannity live, you gain access to real-time updates on breaking news stories and current event...Mar 29, 2018 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users
“@varadmehta Probably more of the latter. The D is a touch behind Biden's vote share. The independent that got ~3% is a former GOP statewide officeholder turned libertarian turned independent.”Sean Hannity is a conservative talk show host who can be heard on the radio, on his podcasts and on his own show on Fox News. There are a couple ways that you can try and get in contact with him, if you so desire."There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9"Sean Hannity can be contacted by mail, email, or through social media. Celebrity online databases, such as Contact Any Celebrity, are available and offer access to the contact information for Sean Hannity and other celebrities.Instagram:https://instagram. central district parking garage ku5 gallon bucket spigot home depothow to write a communication planwillhite Dr. Sean T at RCP, Ph.D.'s Threads – Thread Reader App. Aug 9 • 14 tweets • 3 min read. Save as PDF. Today is my son Judson's 16th Birthday. university of kansas health system medical recordsclay connor elmore Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende Sr. Elections Analyst at RCP. Co-Author, Almanac Am. Pols. 2014. Recovering Attorney. If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention.“@jbview @yeselson I guess I feel like a representative doesn't lose by 35 points without seriously deviating from constituents' impressions of what they're about. But I think it's an interesting way of looking at it, and maybe her earlier campaigns don't conform to my expectations.” university student housing Nov 8, 2018 · “I've gotten a few questions about the "split decision" narrative, and whether it should change if Ds pull out wins in FL-Sen and AZ-Sen (good chance in both!). This gets to one of my biggest pet peeves about elections analysis and sports analysis. 1/” Nov 8, 2018 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users